Cholesterol, chronic inflammation, comorbidity, and clots: biological underpinnings of HIV-associated atherosclerosis and thrombosis
Inflammation is a cause and byproduct of atherosclerosis, thrombosis, and myocardial dysfunction and plays central roles in resulting clinical presentations, including MI, stroke, HF, and sudden cardiac death (
65–89). Atherosclerosis broadly results from accumulation of plaque due to excess retained lipids within the arterial wall, net-inflammatory immune response to these retained products, and vascular injury (hemodynamic and otherwise) (
90–93). Eventually, this plaque may erode or rupture, leading to thrombus formation and possible occlusion of the artery (
70,
76,
78). Coronary artery occlusion, in turn, results in ischemia, acute MI, and/or sudden cardiac death (
94,
95). The pathogenesis of HIV-associated atherosclerosis is incompletely described, and data are based mainly on clinical studies and a limited number of experimental studies. It is likely that HIV-mediated inflammation and dyslipidemia contribute to the severity of HIV-associated atherosclerosis, while the pathogenesis itself is largely the same as in uninfected individuals. The first step of atherogenesis remains the same: endothelial dysfunction which leads to immune activation (
96,
97). This inflammation in the endothelium, which is largely mediated by IL-6 and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), two proteins commonly upregulated in HIV infection (
97,
98), leads to the recruitment, migration, and transformation of macrophages into foam cells (
96–98). Macrophages both harbor the HIV virus and are impacted by the HIV Nef protein which impairs cholesterol efflux from the cell (
99), possibly accelerating foam cell formation and influencing HIV atherogenesis. Oxidative stress, activation of the NLRP3 inflammasome, and endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress also contribute to atherogenesis (
96–98). ER stress may be especially impacted by HIV infection due to the associated dyslipidemia and release of HIV proteins, such as gp120, which trigger the ER stress response and associated macrophage apoptosis (
96,
98).
Dysregulated lipid profiles are common in PWH and often characterized by decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) levels and elevated triglyceride levels in both treated and untreated PWH (
100). HIV disrupts the function of HDL (
5) (
101,
102), and ART does not revert HDL levels back to pre-infection baseline (
101), an important consideration, given the well-described atheroprotective role of functional HDL (
103). Effects of ART on lipids also vary by class and specific drug. Protease inhibitors (PIs; particularly earlier generation protease inhibitors) increase total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and triglyceride levels, whereas effects of nucleoside and non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs and NNRTIs) are more variable (
104–106). For instance, a recent study of over 6,000 PWH switching from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) to tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) demonstrated significant increases in LDL-C and triglyceride levels over approximately 1 year (
107). Integrase inhibitors appear to be largely lipid neutral compared with other antiretrovirals aside from protease inhibitors (
108), but data are limited. In addition to changes in circulating lipids, fat distribution likewise changes both as a result of HIV and ART, resulting in redistribution syndromes marked by inflammatory visceral adiposity and varying degrees of peripheral lipodystrophy (
109,
110).
Given the well-described interplay between innate immune activation and thrombosis (
78–82), it is not surprising that PWH exhibit both hyper-inflammatory and hyper-thrombotic profiles. Monocyte activation persists after viral suppression on ART, with hyper-inflammatory tissue factor-expressing monocytes identified as particularly harmful promoters of a thrombo-inflammatory milieu among PWH (
111,
112); markers of both monocyte activation and thrombosis have likewise been associated with CVD and death in PWH (
61,
113). Although markers of thrombo-inflammation appear elevated among PWH, more research is needed to delineate underlying HIV- and ART-relevant contributors as well as potential strategies to ameliorate HIV-related thrombo-inflammation (
114).
In addition to dyslipidemia and pro-thrombotic features, as well as chronic immune dysregulation, concomitant cardiovascular risk factors contribute to atherogenesis and thrombosis in PWH. The global prevalence of hypertension in PWH is approximately 20%–25%, with some variability depending on setting (e.g., North America or sub-Saharan Africa) (
115–121). A complex interplay between unresolving inflammation, dyslipidemia (and associated atherosclerosis), and chronic kidney disease all may contribute to hypertension among PWH (
122–125). In addition, men with HIV on ART were found to have a fourfold increase in developing diabetes mellitus (DM) compared to men without HIV in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (
126). Furthermore, studies of women with HIV observed a higher risk for developing DM among women with HIV compared with men with HIV, suggesting a sex-specific risk for type 2 diabetes and HIV infection (
127). This elevated DM risk among people with HIV has clear implications for cardiovascular diseases; in PWH, the risk of MI is more than doubled for those with DM than for those without DM (
128). It is important to note, however, that the observed elevated risk of DM among men and women with HIV compared with people without HIV has not been universal across cohorts and may depend on both HIV and control populations studied, as several cross-sectional studies observed similar prevalence of DM for people with HIV on ART and the general population (
129–131).
Cigarette smoking is especially common among PWH and strongly associated with athero-thrombotic complications such as MI and stroke. Although the prevalence of current smoking in US adults declined from 20.6% to 16.8% between 2009 and 2014, these numbers were 37.6%–33.6% for PWH (
132). In men with HIV, current cigarette smoking was positively associated with subclinical atherosclerosis and increased risk for MI (
133). Compared to men with HIV who do not smoke, those who do smoke are estimated to have twice the risk of having a major cardiovascular event (
134). Alcohol use is also common in PWH, and hazardous drinking, defined as binge drinking or more than 14 drinks per week, is associated with an increased incidence of CVD in men with HIV as determined by the Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS) (
135). This association between hazardous drinking alcohol abuse or dependence and CVD persists after accounting for traditional CVD risk factors, CD4 count, and adherence to ART (
135). Moderate drinking and other substance use, including cocaine, did not significantly increase the risk for developing HF in the VACS analysis (
13). A conceptual model of HIV-associated immune dysregulation and coinciding contributors to CVD risk is included in
Fig. 1.
Subclinical arterial disease
Given this inflammatory and metabolically dysregulated milieu, it is not surprising that PWH exhibit a higher prevalence of subclinical arterial disease as well as a more inflammatory arterial disease phenotype compared with HIV-uninfected controls. Compared with HIV-uninfected individuals, PWH have a higher prevalence and greater extent of noncalcified, high-risk coronary plaque and increased coronary artery adverse remodeling—clinically validated markers of increased MI risk that correlate with monocyte activation markers (
136–142). Interestingly, a recent analysis investigating associations of a large panel of inflammation-associated proteins with calcified and overall coronary plaque [as determined by computed tomography (CT)] suggested unique potential pathways underlying noncalcified versus calcified plaque presence in PWH (
143).
Data investigating associations of systemic and vascular inflammation with coronary plaque among PWH are not limited to studies of blood-based biomarkers. Indeed, one study investigating coronary plaque via CT among 41 PWH also employed functional positron emission tomography (PET) imaging of the aorta to measure inflammation and revealed a significant association between aortic inflammation and high-risk coronary plaque (
140). While this association was observed within PWH, data vary on whether PWH have significantly more arterial inflammation than HIV-uninfected controls. One study of 153 young to middle-aged adult (aged 18–40) PWH and 153 age- and gender-matched controls revealed higher target-to-background ratio—a marker of arterial inflammation on PET—as well as high-sensitivity C-reactive protein among PWH (
144). Meanwhile, a smaller study of 26 PWH and 25 HIV-uninfected controls revealed no difference in arterial inflammation measured by PET, although controls were 9 years younger (on average) than PWH in this study (
145).
In addition to CT-based measurements of coronary plaque, numerous studies have investigated carotid intima-media thickness and plaque on ultrasound—direct markers of carotid disease and proxy markers of systemic and coronary arterial disease—in PWH and controls. These likewise demonstrated a higher prevalence of carotid intima-media thickness, plaque, and high-risk features among PWH, as well as associations between elevated indices of inflammation and arterial disease in PWH (
141,
146–148). A recent systematic review of studies investigating subclinical cardiovascular imaging among PWH, which included several of the above-mentioned studies as well as others with variable risk of bias, revealed generally higher indices of subclinical arterial plaque and inflammation among PWH versus HIV-uninfected controls (
149). Importantly, a high degree of heterogeneity across studies was noted, highlighting the non-uniformity of populations of PWH as well as controls that may be selected for such studies as well as the potential impact of variable control selection on findings related to HIV-associated subclinical disease burden (
150).
Clinical presentation and HIV-specific CVD risk enhancers
Clinically, PWH have approximately 1.5- to 2-fold higher risks for MI compared with HIV-uninfected individuals, a risk that persists after accounting for common risk factors and confounders. These elevated MI risks were noted in the early ART era and have persisted; furthermore, a biologic gradient exists whereby lower CD4 count is strongly associated with MI among PWH (
151–157). Additionally, higher viral loads are associated with endothelial dysfunction, inflammation, and the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis (
158–161). Such associations of viremia and CD4 decline with MI risk likely reflect putative mechanisms discussed above, ranging from net-activated/inflammatory T cell and monocyte repertoires to concomitant dyslipidemia and thrombosis (
5). Interestingly, HIV-associated excess MI (and overall CVD) risk may be especially high among women with HIV (
156,
162), although underlying mechanisms are incompletely defined, as are CVD risks in transgender and non-binary PWH. In addition to MI, ischemic stroke also appears to be more common among PWH than in the general population (
8,
163,
164), although this comparative excess risk has not been universally observed across cohorts (
165).
Yet, for PWH and providers engaged in their care, broad comparisons of MI or stroke risk by HIV serostatus are less practically informative than understanding HIV-specific factors that may be driving CVD risk at an individual level (
150). Among PWH, sequelae of uncontrolled virus and immune progression—in particular, low (<200 or even <350 cells/mm
3) CD4 and histories of prolonged viremia—have been consistently associated with higher MI (
151–157) and stroke risk (
8,
163–165) and are thus considered HIV-specific CVD risk enhancers (
5). The HIV Outpatient Cohort Study found that recent (as opposed to nadir) CD4 counts of <500 cells/mm
3 were associated with a 20% attributable risk for incident CVD and could be considered as an independent risk factor for CVD (
153). Additionally, a lower CD4/CD8 ratio is independently associated with an increased risk for coronary atherosclerosis (
166). Other HIV-specific CVD risk enhancers, which have likewise been associated with heightened CVD risk among PWH and reflect inflammatory pathophysiologies discussed above, include co-infection with hepatitis C virus and HIV-associated metabolic sequelae such as lipodystrophy (
5). Most PWH (90% or higher in some cohorts) are co-infected with CMV (
167). CMV co-infection exacerbates non-AIDS comorbidities, especially CVD and cerebrovascular events (
167,
168). In HIV-uninfected CMV-infected populations, the Sacramento Area Latino Study on Aging found an association between CMV IgG levels and ischemic heart disease and increased carotid artery stiffness (
169). In PWH, CMV IgG levels do not necessarily correlate with CMV replication, highlighting the important role of immune activation (
169). Approximately 10% of CD4 and CD8 cells are targeted toward CMV in infected individuals, and this percentage may increase as the individual ages (
169). It is hypothesized that this robust response toward CMV infection may decrease the available immune cells to respond to other infections, further stressing the immune system in PWH.
Now what? practical insights for prevention and management
For CVD primary prevention—prevention of CVD before its overt clinical onset—assessment of absolute risks is required to inform the net clinical benefit [absolute risk reduction minus absolute adverse event rate (
170)] of potential CVD preventive interventions. For example, if medication A was expected to broadly achieve a relative reduction in CVD events by one-third in most populations, patient X with a 10-year predicted CVD risk of 30% would be expected to achieve a 10% absolute reduction in CVD risk (down to 20%) with medication A; for patient Y with a 10-year predicted risk of only 3%, this absolute risk reduction would be only 1%. Therefore, if medication A confers a consistent 2-5% absolute risk for serious adverse effects, the net clinical benefit of medication A would be more readily justified in patient X than patient Y, for whom adverse effects would be more likely than preventing a CVD event.
In this context, there has been considerable interest in precisely estimating CVD risk among PWH. Unfortunately, general population and HIV-specific CVD risk estimators exhibit modest at-best predictive utility in assessing CVD risk for PWH (
171–174), with particularly poor performance in women, Black individuals, and younger populations (
175). In the absence of optimally calibrated CVD risk estimation tools for PWH, a reasonable interim approach is to use an existing CVD population risk estimator (e.g., the American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology pooled cohort equations or Framingham Risk Score, among others), with the understanding that in the presence of HIV-specific risk enhancers, an individual’s actual CVD risk is likely 1.5-fold or more higher than predicted (
5). As discussed above, HIV-related risk enhancers include clinical features such as low current or nadir CD4 count (<200 or <350 cells/mm
3), history of prolonged viremia and/or treatment failure, and co-infection with hepatitis C virus, among others. Whether circulating inflammatory markers such as interleukin-6 or soluble CD163 meaningfully improve risk stratification remains to be determined.
A separate question relates to the role of subclinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) imaging—for instance, coronary artery calcium (CAC) screening—for further risk stratification in PWH. In the general population, CAC screening is a widely accepted, relatively inexpensive, and low-radiation way to evaluate calcified coronary plaque burden (which generally, though imperfectly, correlates with overall plaque burden) and thus stratify individuals’ risk for progression to clinical ASCVD such as MI (
176). Several investigations adding CAC scores to clinical risk prediction models have revealed CAC to be an important—in some cases, the most important—predictor of progression to clinical events, supporting its widespread use for risk stratification (
176–178). While these general population data argue in favor of potential value for CVD risk stratification in PWH, there are some caveats. As discussed above, subclinical arterial disease may present with a somewhat different phenotype in PWH than in HIV-uninfected persons, with PWH having a comparative predilection for noncalcified plaque. Given these data, CAC screening in PWH may be useful insofar as observation of significant CAC [e.g., absolute CAC score >400 Agatston units, and/or at a high percentile compared to what would be age- and demographically expected based on normative cohort data (
179)] is clearly indicative of plaque burden and places that individual in a higher risk group than would have been expected pretest. Meanwhile, a lower-than-expected CAC score or zero CAC, while somewhat reassuring, may not be quite as reassuring in PWH, given noncalcified plaque may still be present.
The predicted CVD risk for PWH can inform providers regarding expected net clinical benefits of established CVD preventive therapies—in particular, lipid-lowering therapies such as statins. To this end, the recently completed randomized trial to prevent vascular events in HIV (REPRIEVE), which demonstrated a higher-than-expected 35% risk reduction in major cardiac events for PWH randomized to a moderate intensity statin (pitavastatin) and similarly low serious adverse event rates as in the general population, provides timely data to inform these individual-level risk/benefit considerations (
180). Non-statin lipid-lowering therapies are also under investigation in PWH, with a recent trial of a proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9-inhibiting monoclonal antibody demonstrating lipid-lowering efficacy and a tolerable side effect profile in PWH (
181). The Evolocumab Effect on LDL-C Lowering in Subjects with Human Immunodeficiency Virus and Increased Cardiovascular Risk (BEIJERINCK) trial also found monthly evolocumab injections significantly reduced LDL-C levels in PWH with high cardiovascular risk. The LDL-lowering effects of omega-3 fish oil and fenofibrate in PWH still require more elucidation, with two small studies showing insignificant differences and mild improvement for each respective therapy (
182,
183). An overview of clinical trials evaluating cardiovascular endpoints in PWH is provided in
Table 1.
Fewer data exist to inform on other antithrombotic and anti-inflammatory therapies for CVD prevention in PWH. Aspirin exhibited muted antiplatelet effects in PWH compared with alternative antiplatelet agents, such as clopidogrel (
188–190), but the clinical relevance of these findings and comparative risk versus benefit of antiplatelet for primary prevention of CVD in PWH remain to be seen. Similarly, the role for targeted anti-inflammatory therapies, such as canakinumab, for CVD prevention remains unclear in PWH but is under investigation (
191). The Antiinflamatory Therapy with Canakinumab for Atherosclerotic Disease (CANTOS) trial showed that canakinumab, a monoclonal antibody, treatment was helpful in reducing major adverse cardiovascular events in patients without HIV who achieved hsCRP levels less than 2 mg/L with the first dose (
192–194). Canakinumab has major effects on inflammation as shown by circulating inflammatory markers but very little effect on lipid levels, especially LDL (
192,
193). However, the study did not include PLWH, leaving limited anti-inflammatory recommendations for this population. Similarly, the Colchicine Cardiovascular Outcomes Trial (COLCOT) and the second low-dose colchicine trial (LODOCO2) found that 0.5 mg of colchicine daily significantly decreased the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with recent MI and patients with chronic coronary disease, respectively (
195,
196). Neither trial collected data on PWH. An overview of clinical trials evaluating inflammation-targeted therapies in the general population is provided in
Table 2.
Multiple studies have shown that low-to-moderate dose methotrexate treatment in patients with rheumatoid arthritis lowered their CVD risk by modulating inflammation (
198–202), but a recent study of low-dose methotrexate showed that the drug had no significant effect on endothelial function or inflammatory markers in PWH (
203). The treatment did significantly lower CD8 cells, and a subsequent study showed that the methotrexate inhibited T cell proliferation (
5,
203,
204). Ultimately, while there is ongoing research on anti-inflammatory therapies and cardiovascular risk, there is an absence of data applying to PWH.
PWH also warrant different secondary prevention considerations. Although PWH have similar rates of complication following percutaneous coronary intervention compared with HIV-uninfected individuals (
205), they are less likely to undergo percutaneous coronary intervention following MI. This gap in indicated coronary interventions may be especially pronounced among women (
206,
207). Rates of appropriate, indicated lipid-lowering and antiplatelet therapy following athero-thrombotic CVD events (in particular, MI) likewise lag for PWH compared with HIV-uninfected individuals (
208–210). Given suboptimal post-MI care and a high burden of mortality post-MI among PWH (
211), HIV care providers must remain vigilant to ensure patients with existing CVD receive appropriate, indicated therapies to prevent recurrent events.
ART-specific considerations in ASCVD: past, present, and future
ART has transformed the natural history of HIV, and evolutions in ART have likewise impacted the natural history of HIV-associated aging and comorbidity. Several landmark trials elucidated the benefits of long-term antiretroviral (ARV) use, as well as the importance of early and continuous ART. The Strategies for Management of Antiretroviral Therapy trial demonstrated the significant benefit of continuous ART over episodic use (
185), even with the side effects of early antiretrovirals; in addition to improving HIV/AIDS-related outcomes, continuous ART actually reduced risk for myocardial infarction. Subsequently, the START (initiation of antiretroviral therapy in early asymptomatic HIV infection) demonstrated a clear clinical benefit of immediate and continuous ART initiation (
29), though without a significant reduction in cardiovascular events with immediate ART. Thus, although one might extrapolate a reduction in overall cardiovascular risk with immediate ART based on the potential to reduce viremia and early CD4 decline, the clinical trial data from START do not resoundingly indicate cardiovascular-specific benefit of immediate ART.
In the current era, there are seven classes of antiretroviral drugs approved by the Food and Drug Administration: NRTIs, NNRTIs, PIs, INSTIs (integrase strand transfer inhibitors), fusion inhibitors, CCR5 antagonists, and post-attachment inhibitors. People with HIV are commonly on three drugs from two different classes, although two-drug regimens are becoming increasingly common. The 2022 recommendations from the International Antiviral Society, USA Panel for preferred drug regimens pair one INSTI with one or more NRTIs (
35). The formulations of antiretroviral drugs have changed from their first iterations to modern usages. Older variations of NRTIs, such as azidothymidine, were associated with higher mitochondrial toxicity leading to myopathies and neuropathies (
212,
213) As mentioned previously, TDF and TAF have varying effects on lipid profiles (
107). While more studies are needed to conclude their effect on CVD risk, it is possible that TDF-based regimens have positive effects on lipid profiles and, therefore, lessen CVD risk compared to TAF-based regimens. Despite the cardiometabolic conditions associated with INSTIs, a study based on the Swiss HIV Cohort Study just concluded that there is no difference in short-term or long-term risk for CVD in treatment-naïve PWH who start an INSTI-based ART compared to those who start another ART (
184).
Overall, drug-/class-specific data are too inconsistent to inform a blanket recommendation for a particular drug or class as preferable to others. Protease inhibitors have been associated with modest increases in MI risk (
214), but these findings do not appear to be a universal class effect: among protease inhibitors, ritonavir-boosted darunavir is associated with increased CVD risk, whereas ritonavir-boosted atazanavir is not (
215). Meanwhile, abacavir has been associated with elevated MI risk in some (
214,
216–221) but not all studies (
222–225). Therefore, while ART is clearly preferable to no ART for control of HIV as well as blunting-related immunologic changes driving persistent inflammation among PWH, there is currently no single, clearly superior “CVD-friendly” ART regimen to recommend above others. In the presence of boosters, it is important for clinicians to likewise understand potential effects on other medications, as boosters such as cobicistat and ritonavir can substantially increase levels of other drugs metabolized by the cytochrome P450 system, including statins (
105). An overview of statin-related considerations for PWH on ART is provided in
Table 3.